SimulatedThis case study is a model of the first Show of Hands festival, not a report on one. Every figure, venue and artist is invented for discussion.
Case study, simulated. The Bailey Perspective, September 2026.

The first festivalEighteen months, from the first ticket to the gate.

On 3 May 2027 someone buys a ticket to a show with no venue and no lineup. Ten weeks later the crowd has chosen both. Eleven months after that, 11,400 of them walk through the gate. This is what the platform and the event each earn along the way.

12,000

Tickets issued. 3,000 founders at $100, then 9,000 in waves at the market price.

$1.97M

Primary ticket sales. The promoter's money to book the show with.

$2.88M

Traded on the built-in market across 18,000 trades.

$260,625

Platform revenue from one festival. More than half of it from resale.

1The eighteen months

Six months to build. One month to sign. Eleven months for the crowd to make the show.

Kickoff is 1 October 2026. The gates open on 7 April 2028. The build is front-loaded, the money arrives in the middle, and the crowd does the rest.

M0 to M5 · Oct 2026 to Mar 2027

Build and legal

Ticket token and custodial wallets, ballot, market, card on-ramp and identity, gate scanner. Legal review of resale caps and securities runs alongside. In February a 200-person internal test runs a full ten-round cycle in ten days.

M6 · Apr 2027

Opt-in window

4 venues and 32 artists sign: dates held, guarantee set, a sixty-second pitch. Listing fee $500 each, $18,000 in total.

M7 · 3 to 7 May 2027

Founders' round

3,000 tickets at a flat $100. Sold out in five days. The market switches on the Friday it closes.

M7 to M9 · May to Jul 2027

Ten rounds

One ballot a week, closing Fridays. Venue first, then headliner, down to set times on 16 July.

M10 to M17 · Aug 2027 to Mar 2028

Waves

Five releases at the market price, 9,000 tickets, up to the venue's 12,000 capacity. Trading continues throughout.

M18 · 7 to 9 Apr 2028

The show

12,000 tickets issued, 11,400 scanned at the gate. The crowd that walks in is the crowd that booked it.

2Day one: the first ticket

Monday 3 May 2027, 09:02. Ticket #0001.

The founders' round opens at nine. Two minutes later the first card payment clears. The buyer sees a ticket and a ballot that says the first vote opens in eleven days. They do not see a wallet, a token or a chain. All three exist.

By the end of Monday 1,180 tickets are gone. The pace halves each day as the people who were waiting for it get in, and the last 240 sell on Friday. Three thousand paid, verified voters before a venue is named, and $300,000 committed. That afternoon the market switches on and the first ballot is scheduled.

Selling out in five days is the target the pilot is designed around. Slower would still work. The rounds do not start until the founders' round closes, so a slow sell-out delays the calendar, not the mechanics.

Founders' round: tickets sold per day

3,000 in five days
Table
DaySoldRunning total
Mon 3 May1,1801,180
Tue 4 May7601,940
Wed 5 May4902,430
Thu 6 May3302,760
Fri 7 May2403,000
1

Card payment

$100 by card, the same checkout as any ticket site. Identity is verified once, at signup.

2

Wallet created

A custodial wallet is opened for the buyer in the background. No app to install, no seed phrase, nothing to lose.

3

Token minted

Ticket #0001 is written to a low-fee chain as one token, tied to that wallet and that verified person.

4

Ticket and ballot appear

The buyer sees a seat, a countdown to the first vote, and a price. The chain stays under the floor.

3Ten rounds

Ten Fridays. Ten decisions. The price moved on every one.

The founders picked Redgum Flats in week one. Everyone who held a ticket voted from week two on. Turnout never fell below 80 percent, and averaged 84.9 percent across the ten rounds.

Ticket price after each round

Last trade on the platform. Hover a week.

What the price did

  • Week 2 was the swingThe headliner vote took the ticket from $104 to $138 in one Friday. 2,100 tickets traded that week, the most of any round.
  • Week 3 dippedFounders who wanted The Long Dusk sold out at a profit after Glass Harbor won the second headliner slot. The buyers who replaced them wanted what the crowd had made.
  • Comfort rounds moved lessCamping and food barely moved the price. The crowd cared, but it was not why they bought.
  • $214 at the gateTrading continued for nine more months after week ten. The last trade before the gates opened was $214.
WeekDecisionWinnerPrice after closeTurnout
1 · 14 MayThe venueFounders onlyRedgum FlatsCapacity 12,000, camping, 2 h from the city. Beat Harbour Yard (8,000) and Pinebrook Fairgrounds (15,000).$10491%
2 · 21 MayThe headlinerNova FenwickPop. Over Glass Harbor (indie) and The Long Dusk (roots). 2,100 trades that week.$13889%
3 · 28 MaySecond headlinerGlass HarborSome founders who wanted roots sold out at a profit.$13186%
4 · 4 JunSupport, first waveFour acts from a ballot of twelve$15284%
5 · 11 JunSupport, second waveFour more$14985%
6 · 18 JunThe late-night stageSilent disco and electronic$16082%
7 · 25 JunCamping and comfortGlamping tier, quiet camp, showers$15880%
8 · 2 JulArt and installationsCommission budget of $60,000 allocated$17183%
9 · 9 JulFood and drinkLocal-producer vendor shortlist$17581%
10 · 16 JulSet timesNova Fenwick closes Saturday$19088%
After ten rounds the show is fully specified$19084.9% avg

Rules in force for every round: one verified person, at most four voting tickets. The vote travels with the ticket. Ranked choice, top three. Only pre-signed, bookable options on the ballot. The tally is on the ledger for anyone to check.

4Follow one ticket

Ticket #0001 paid the platform $19.90 and cost the promoter nothing.

The first ticket sold changed hands twice before the gate. Each time, the market contract took 2.5 percent from the seller and 2.5 percent from the buyer before the token moved. There is no other way to move a ticket, so there is no way around the fee.

Across 12,000 tickets the average was 1.5 trades each, which is 18,000 trades at an average of $160. That is $2,880,000 in resale volume, and $144,000 in resale fees, on tickets the platform sold once for $100 or the market price.

The primary fee happens once. The resale fee happens every time the crowd changes its mind, which in this festival was every week for ten weeks and then steadily for nine months.

Ticket #0001Founders' round · three holders · one seat
3 May 2027
Bought, $100Founders' round. Primary fee 5%.
$5.00from the buyer
21 May 2027
Sold, $138After the headliner vote. 2.5% each side.
$3.45 + $3.45seller + buyer
18 Jun 2027
Resold, $160After the late-night vote. 2.5% each side.
$4.00 + $4.00seller + buyer
7 Apr 2028
Scanned at the gateBy its third holder. No fee on entry.
$0.00
Platform fee on one $100 ticket$19.90
5Waves

Nine thousand more tickets, at the price the crowd had made.

Once the show was fully specified, tickets released in five waves at the current market price, never at $100. The founders' discount was for being first. Every wave sold out and the price rose each time.

WaveReleasedTicketsPriceRevenueCapacity filled
FoundersMay 20273,000$100$300,0003,000
Wave 1Aug 20271,500$165$247,5004,500
Wave 2Oct 20272,000$175$350,0006,500
Wave 3Dec 20272,000$185$370,0008,500
Wave 4Feb 20282,000$195$390,00010,500
Wave 5Mar 20281,500$210$315,00012,000
Primary sales, all waves12,000$164 avg$1,972,50012,000 of 12,000
0Venue capacity 12,000
Founders 3,000 at $100 Wave 1 · 1,500 at $165 Wave 2 · 2,000 at $175 Wave 3 · 2,000 at $185 Wave 4 · 2,000 at $195 Wave 5 · 1,500 at $210

Trading did not stop for the waves. 9,600 trades happened during the ten rounds, 7,200 during the wave period, and 1,200 in the final two weeks before the gate.

6The show

7 to 9 April 2028. Eleven thousand four hundred hands through the gate.

Of 12,000 tickets issued, 11,400 were scanned at Redgum Flats over the weekend, a 95 percent show rate. Nova Fenwick closed Saturday, exactly as the week-ten ballot decided.

The gate did not scan a barcode. Each holder's phone signed a one-time challenge with the key behind their wallet, and the scanner checked the ledger for a live ticket belonging to that key. A screenshot cannot sign. A ticket sold on Thursday night was already in its new holder's wallet by the time they reached the car park.

Identity checks and scanning were rehearsed at the February 2027 internal test and again in the final two weeks, when 1,200 tickets changed hands.

What the crowd chose

  • The venueRedgum Flats. Capacity 12,000, camping on site, two hours from the city.
  • The headlinersNova Fenwick, then Glass Harbor. The Long Dusk lost, and their fans sold out at a profit.
  • SupportEight acts, chosen in two waves from a ballot of twelve and then four more.
  • After darkA silent disco and an electronic stage.
  • ComfortA glamping tier, a quiet camp and showers. $145,000 of camping upgrades sold on site.
  • Art and food$60,000 in commissioned installations. A vendor shortlist built from local producers.
7The money

Two businesses in one festival. The platform earns a fee. The event earns the show.

Show of Hands never owns the risk of the event. It takes a percentage of every primary sale, both sides of every resale, and a listing fee from artists and venues who want on the ballot. For the pilot we are also the promoter, so the first festival earns both sides.

Fee rates in this model are placeholders for discussion: 5% primary 2.5% each side on resale $500 listing

The platform

Show of Hands. Fee income only, no event costs.

Fee on primary sales · $1,972,500 × 5%$98,625
Fee on resale · $2,880,000 × 5% (2.5% + 2.5%)$144,000
Listing fees · 36 × $500$18,000
Platform revenue, one festival$260,625
About $21.72 per ticket issued. 55% of it from resale.

The event

The promoter's side. For the pilot, also us.

Ticket revenue, net of the platform fee$1,873,875
On-site revenue$455,000
Bar and food commission$190,000
Camping upgrades$145,000
Sponsors$120,000
Costs−$1,784,000
Venue$220,000
Headliners, 2 × $175,000$350,000
Support, 8 × $18,000$144,000
Late-night stage$40,000
Production: stages, sound, lights$380,000
Staffing, security, medical$210,000
Camping and comfort$120,000
Art commissions$60,000
Marketing$90,000
Insurance and permits$70,000
Contingency$100,000
Event net$544,875
Pilot total to us, platform plus event$805,500

Every transaction pays

A primary sale pays 5 percent. A resale pays 2.5 percent from each side. A ballot listing pays $500. There is no transaction on the platform that does not carry a fee, and there is no transaction off the platform.

The contract is the fee

A ticket is a token that can only move through the market contract, and the contract deducts the fee before the token moves. Nobody can trade around it, including us. That is why the resale line is a certainty, not a policy.

Resale is the bigger line

Primary fees are earned once per ticket. Resale fees are earned every time the crowd changes its mind. In this festival resale earned $144,000 against $98,625 on primary, and it will grow with every extra trade per ticket.

8What we would measure, and what this model says

Four things the pilot has to prove.

Turnout holds

The fear is that voting fades after the headliner. In the model it dipped to 80 percent in the camping round and came back to 88 percent for set times. Average 84.9 percent across ten rounds.

Headliner week is the event

The single biggest price move, $104 to $138, and 2,100 trades in a week. Everything about the calendar should build toward that Friday.

Resale beats primary

$144,000 in resale fees against $98,625 on primary, at 1.5 trades per ticket. Every extra trade per ticket adds roughly $96,000 of platform revenue at these prices.

Waves at market price

Releasing 9,000 tickets at the price the crowd had set earned $1,672,500. Flat $100 pricing on the same tickets would have earned $900,000. The crowd priced its own show.